Sometimes we make assumptions about what we think is obvious
to even the most casual observer that is over 12 years of
age. However, I heard a very, very bright, young student
say something the other day that caught my attention. After
winning a scholarship competition that provided his family
$50,000 toward his college education, he said "I am
not sure that I even understand what $50,000 is." I
found that to be a pretty remarkable statement especially
coming from a young man who had clearly mastered a number
of academic topics. Maybe I shouldn't be so surprised. After
all, who teaches our children the economic value of anything
these days? Financial literacy is not part of the curriculum
at most high schools. And maybe … just maybe
this explains why students I have worked with…good
students… have often opted to leave as much as $50,000
or more on the table when they choose their college. They
simply get caught up in the tension of a brand name,
sports, a scenic campus and other factors versus money. Maybe
the value or meaning of $50,000 just doesn't register. Well,
in an attempt to do something about this, let's consider
the following.
General College Finances
The sum of $50,000 is the target figure that is emerging
to attend a private college for one year. It includes
tuition, room, board, books and allowances for travel and
incidental living expenses (toothpaste and pizza).
If a student attends four classes for four hours a week
each (i.e. sixteen hours for four weeks per month and ten
months a year), that works out to 640 hours per academic
year. Tuition or what you pay for the academic product delivered
by the college is roughly 2/3 of the total cost. For every
$10,000 of college cost, the family is paying $16 an hour.
So for a $50,000 per year education, each classroom hour
could be valued at $33,300/640 or $52/hour (in after-tax
dollars).
If an adult were to have a job that pays $52 per hour and
worked a standard 1600 hours a year, he or she would have
an annual salary of $83,200. That is almost two times
above the national average income. If the same adult
were paying 35% of their earnings in state, federal and local
taxes (this is a low estimate), they would pay $29,120 in
taxes and that means the family would have $54,000 to fund
their household for an entire year. But wait. If college
costs $33,000 per year for the tuition and the family tried
to pay just that part of the college education without debt
or drawing down savings, they would only have $21,000 disposable
dollars to run their household. This is an unlikely prospect
in today's world…rent or mortgage alone would
eat at least half of this for most families.
At these prices, if a college student skips class or fails
to do the work required to be successful, the penalty is
$52 per hour for tuition costs plus another $32 per hour
for other expenses (room, board, books, etc.) at a $50,000
per year college. So if he or she puts forth an 80% effort
(and many people at face value would consider this a solid
performance) over the course of a year instead of a 100%
effort, the student has squandered 0.2 x $84/hour x 640 hours,
or $10,752.
Now Let's Consider the Real Cost
Up to this point we have been talking primarily about the
face value of $50,000 in current or present day dollars.
It is, however, necessary to look at future value or the
time value of money in order to fully appreciate what $50,000
is or means.
This is not a bogus methodology. This is a proven
textbook financial principal. It has everything
in the world to do with how people accumulate (or squander)
wealth. Its genesis lies in the simple concept of compound
interest.
Most people benefit from investments or savings in terms
of the interest paid by a bank or other financial institution
for the use of the individual's money. Let's
say you get paid 5% per year on the money you have saved
(say $1000), that would be $50 for one year. If you left
all of your the money in the bank for another year, the interest
for year two would be $52.50 and if you left everything in
the bank for one more year, you would earn $55 interest. The
interest paid to you goes up each year because you are getting
interest on interest…or compound interest. In this
case your cumulative interest is $157 and you have only committed
$1000 of your own funds…the initial deposit.
For rough estimating you should also keep in mind the doubling
rule, i.e. when you keep your money working for you (in savings
or investments), your account will double every ten years
if you can earn 7% interest on your account each year.
Also be aware that if you fail to in invest or save, the
shoe is on the other foot. If you decide to use your funds
for consumption rather than saving, you will have lost or
failed to receive the interest that you otherwise should
have in your account.
A second fact to keep in mind is that when examining the
cost of a decision, you should consider the time value of
money over your working lifetime to see the real cost/benefit. This
means you need to look at one doubling event for every ten
years up to, say, your 75th birthday. Now let us say
a student decides to forego a $12,500/yr scholarship opportunity
at one school to attend an alternative college or university
for whatever reason. That is a $50,000 dollar decision
in today's dollars.
But take the time value of money into account over the student's
or his/her parent's lifetime…about 60+ more
years for the student. That is six doubling events
for the student…perhaps three for the parents (depending
on their age) at 7% return on the dollar invested. The first
doubling changes the price of this decision to $100,000,
the second to $200,000, the third to $400,000, the fourth
to $800,000 , the fifth to $1,600,000 and the sixth and final
doubling equates to $3,200,000.
Whether viewing this decision as a parent or a student,
the reasons for leaving $12,500/yr for four years on the
table ought to be extremely compelling. The wealthy people
of the world understand and use the time value of money in
their decision making.
Now the secret of $50,000 is out there for all to see.
Tom McGrath is President and Managing Director of Strategies
For College, Inc. Founded in 1990 by Tom's partner,
Todd Fothergill, Strategies for College is a Vermont-based
college planning firm. It is headquartered at 20 Chapel Street
in West Rutland with offices in Williston, VT and West Lebanon,
NH. Tom and Todd can be contacted for more information
at www.strategiesforcollege.com.